![]() ![]() We project the Browns to finish with 1.8 wins. At least Cleveland will probably have another shot at picking a franchise quarterback, as the team now has a 61 percent chance to land the No. Over bettors are probably more upset about this than Browns fans. The Bengals have a couple of easy games left on their schedule - at home against the Browns and Bears -but that probably won't be enough for a second-half surge to nine wins. The Ravens make no sense, so it's no wonder that they are a coin flip to hit the over halfway through their season.Ī rough start to the season that cost offensive coordinator Ken Zampese his job also probably will cost over bettors a chance to cash. They've beaten the Raiders in Oakland and lost to the Bears at home. This is a team that has beaten the Dolphins by 40 and lost to the Jaguars by 37. FPI now projects an average of 11.8 wins for the Steelers, so anyone with an over ticket ought to feel pretty good right now. It turns out their offense is solid, but their defense, which has ranked third-best in unit efficiency, has stolen the show. The Steelers are a very good team, just not in the way we thought. Update: With their 34-21 victory against the Bills on Thursday night in Week 9, the Jets became the first team to reach their win total, hitting the over with four wins. That being said, because the Jets have won three games - including one over the Jaguars - means they are close to certain to go over. ![]() It says something about what FPI thinks of the Jets that the model thinks there is an 11 percent chance that Gang Green won't win another game all season. FPI gives the Bills a 60 percent shot to reach the postseason. The Bills ought to have much higher sights set than just seven wins. 500.Īfter all the tanking talk in the preseason when the Bills traded away Sammy Watkins and Ronald Darby, Buffalo seems to be doing all right for itself. But they are 5.2 points per game worse than the average team, per FPI, and that will make it tough for them to get to. The Dolphins have outperformed their skill so far, particularly after beating the Falcons in a game FPI predicted they had only a 15 percent chance to win. On the bright side for over bettors: There's a 29 percent chance that this will either be a push or go over. They are only underdogs for one remaining contest (at Steelers), but are favored by less than a field goal in three others (at Broncos, vs. The Patriots, whom FPI has downgraded a fair amount since the preseason but still believes are one of the best teams in football, can afford to lose just one more game to hit the over. This total might have felt low to fans around the league weary of the Patriots' incessant success, but we see now how truly little room for error there is in a line like this. Preseason totals are from the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook. FPI rates the strength of every team and simulates the season 10,000 times to project the remainder of the year. Using our Football Power Index (FPI), we can evaluate each team's chances of hitting the over on its preseason total. In some cases, this serves as a reminder of exactly how different the season has gone for some teams than many expected. With the season nearly halfway over, it's worth checking in on the status of every NFL team's preseason total. Which NFL teams will hit their preseason Vegas win totals? Follow on Twitter.You have reached a degraded version of because you're using an unsupported version of Internet Explorer.įor a complete experience, please upgrade or use a supported browser The Jaguars went 3-13 last year and haven’t won more than five games since 2010.įollow all of our sports betting coverage online at /betting and on Twitter.Ĭontact reporter Todd Dewey at or 70. The Browns, who went 1-15 last season, have finished with four wins or less in four of their last six seasons. The Patriots, who are favored in their first 15 games, went 14-2 last season and have won at least 12 games in seven straight seasons and 11 of 14. Oakland, which went 12-4 last year, is favored in 10 of its first 15 games in NFL regular-season lines posted at CG Technology. The Raiders’ total is 9½, up from 8½ last season. South Point sports book director Chris Andrews also moved the Jaguars’ total to 6 after it opened at 5½ and dropped the Titans’ total to 9 after it opened at 9½. ![]() The South Point was the first Las Vegas sports book to post NFL 2017 regular-season win totals Sunday, with the defending Super Bowl champion Patriots leading the opening numbers with 11 and the Browns with the lowest total of 4.Įarly action on New England and Cleveland to go over their opening win totals pushed those numbers up to 11.5 and 4.5, respectively, as of Monday morning. New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady holds the Vince Lombardi trophy as interviewer Terry Bradshaw approaches after his team defeated the Atlanta Falcons to win Super Bowl LI in Houston, Texas, U.S., February 5, 2017. ![]()
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